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#ideas2invest

13 October 2021

China Hotpot: Entering the peak season

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Story of the day

Hotpot dine-in volume in China has been low compared to pre-COVID levels due to regional Covid-19 outbreaks, which has shifted consumer preferences towards delivery and takeaways. However, an estimated 1bn Chinese citizens have already been vaccinated, which may boost consumer confidence to dine out more frequently.

Capitalise on the incoming boost
icon_hotpot
What does this mean for your portfolio?

The upcoming hotpot peak season, where 5-6 months in the second half of the year account for the bulk of earnings, should provide a boost to sales. With hotpot operators' share prices retreating 60-70% from their peaks in early 2021, DBS Group Research believes the current prices present an opportunity to capitalise on the incoming boost.

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We like these:

Haidilao

Among hotpot operators, Haidilao is our top pick as the company readjusts its store expansion pace and looks to raise store productivity.

Haidilao should sustain 96% growth in FY22E, supported by store expansion, and improvement in productivity in new stores.

Xiabuxiabu

We also like Xiabuxiabu as store expansion and improved productivity in new stores should support sustained growth.

We expect the worst should be over with the removal of loss-making stores to raise the overall operating margin, and forecast a 48% growth in FY22E.

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